Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FORTH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 2.699920 2.871359 3.059296 3.282944 3.545106 3.847093 4.228244
2025-03-16 2.434280 2.652255 2.904928 3.226390 3.635839 4.158449 4.913005
2025-03-23 2.329668 2.580428 2.882684 3.286765 3.836678 4.604514 5.872222
2025-03-30 2.190543 2.448935 2.767444 3.206025 3.828217 4.751204 6.437294
2025-04-06 2.072912 2.332463 2.657492 3.114715 3.783846 4.824928 6.899700
2025-04-13 1.985468 2.247049 2.579330 3.056055 3.774623 4.946753 7.512840
2025-04-20 1.949511 2.224134 2.580022 3.105235 3.932297 5.385250 9.141892
2025-04-27 1.937490 2.230536 2.619075 3.211861 4.197066 6.107982 12.597156
2025-05-04 1.894321 2.192512 2.593295 3.217322 4.290712 6.519501 16.138217
2025-05-11 1.854475 2.156572 2.567572 3.219459 4.377519 6.951535 22.141695
2025-05-18 1.793497 2.089083 2.492932 3.137668 4.296392 6.938611 25.023910
2025-05-25 1.763318 2.062512 2.475739 3.146657 4.389852 7.431515 44.828445
2025-06-01 1.727616 2.028575 2.448456 3.141151 4.463481 7.944868 406.016329
2025-06-08 1.682074 1.979304 2.396306 3.090424 4.438226 8.147364 NaN
2025-06-15 1.667429 1.972449 2.406385 3.145228 4.644957 9.320917 NaN
2025-06-22 1.621932 1.920154 2.345315 3.071735 4.556553 9.284227 NaN
2025-06-29 1.576490 1.866685 2.280598 2.988344 4.437241 9.072479 NaN
2025-07-06 1.540675 1.826018 2.234042 2.934646 4.381134 9.131699 NaN
2025-07-13 1.530629 1.821797 2.242879 2.979673 4.561406 10.477236 NaN
2025-07-20 1.532732 1.834974 2.278997 3.077051 4.892639 13.432677 NaN
2025-07-27 1.514303 1.817531 2.266089 3.082029 4.989121 15.174826 NaN
2025-08-03 1.496186 1.799960 2.252179 3.083977 5.078603 17.300464 NaN
2025-08-10 1.463038 1.759408 2.200145 3.009329 4.941417 16.495251 NaN